Hurricane Matthew - 2016

Discussion in 'Discussion Group' started by jesse82nc, Oct 2, 2016.

  1. bridgett

    bridgett Well-Known Member

    People are killed during snow storms. Should we not make jokes about them and our reactions to their forecast too?
  2. BuzzMyMonkey

    BuzzMyMonkey Well-Known Member

    Have at it all you want I guess I'm missing the point of fun and jokes in death and destruction.
    poppin cork likes this.
  3. jesse82nc

    jesse82nc Well-Known Member

    2pm Update

    140 mph now, strong Category 4.

    Looks like by around early Saturday morning we could be getting some of the wind and rain. It looks like it will still be a solid Category 2 by then.

  4. lgb0250

    lgb0250 Well-Known Member

    I don't know why you continue and try to be helpful considering all of the bickering nitwits comments but, I appreciate it. Thanks
    bridgett, Wayne Stollings and Hught like this.
  5. jesse82nc

    jesse82nc Well-Known Member

    I was half tempted to rename this thread to "Hurricane Matthew 2016 - Off Topic Arguing" and start a new one as "Hurricane Matthew 2016 - Actual Updates.

    Anyway, it's still 40 minutes from the next update, but here's a couple of the latest maps.

    Two of the major models have it making landfall in Wilmington, and two have it making landfall in Morehead City. Two others show it going back out to sea.


  6. jesse82nc

    jesse82nc Well-Known Member

    Tracking more West on the 5pm Update

  7. Sherry A.

    Sherry A. Well-Known Member

    Yikes. I sure hope that front from the west comes in to push this offshore.

    Auxie likes this.
  8. elims

    elims Well-Known Member

    You're awesome, Jesse. Thanks for being a good neighbor to everyone here on 4042, whether they like it or not.
    bridgett, Auxie and Hught like this.
  9. Auxie

    Auxie Well-Known Member

    If our Computers are up Sunday afternoon, we should know if it hit us or not. Until then it's guess work, but everyone should be prepared if it does hit us.
  10. jesse82nc

    jesse82nc Well-Known Member

    No major update at 8pm, still 140mph on the same track.

    But just read this in one of the NHC reports:
    RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in
    the following areas:

    Southern Haiti and southwestern Dominican Republic...15 to 25
    inches, isolated 40 inches

    40 INCHES!

    That's what we get in a year here in the Triangle on average
    Wayne Stollings, Auxie and Sherry A. like this.
  11. tassy

    tassy Well-Known Member

    Thank you for your updates Jesse!!
  12. jesse82nc

    jesse82nc Well-Known Member

    8am Update:

    Storm is a strong 145 mph Category 4 hurricane.

    Track has continued to shift westward and landfall in the Wilmington area is now a decent probability, or it may just skirt right along the coast. It should be a solid Category 2 with winds in the 100-110 mph range at that time.


    This estimate here shows how far out the winds extend now, if it was to continue along the projected path and where it would be around 2 pm Saturday. The purple box is the approximate area of 40/42. Red is hurricane force winds (74+ mph). The light blue is tropical storm force winds (39-73 mph). The yellow is the storms diameter today. Keep in mind that stronger wind gusts are always possible in these areas. If it continues along the current projected path, we would start feeling the effects of it late Friday night into early Saturday morning. The best estimate currently for rain for our area, is about 2 inches or so.
  13. jesse82nc

    jesse82nc Well-Known Member

    11am update has landfall in Wilmington now. Hurricane is still the same strength. The current track has the eye going about 50-80 miles east of 40/42

    1_more_PitBull likes this.
  14. jesse82nc

    jesse82nc Well-Known Member

    Updated projected rain totals for the area. Obviously this could still change a bit as it gets closer.


    We should have a much better idea of what is going to happen to our area by Wedensday afternoon.
    1_more_PitBull likes this.
  15. jesse82nc

    jesse82nc Well-Known Member

    Last edited: Oct 4, 2016
    Sherry A. likes this.
  16. jesse82nc

    jesse82nc Well-Known Member

    The models have been all over the place lately, but the latest trend shows the track going back out to sea before hitting NC which may mean we are spared the worst of it.

    We'll have to see what they say later today and tomorrow.

    Hught and markfnc like this.
  17. jesse82nc

    jesse82nc Well-Known Member

    One of the latest models, I'm convinced they have almost no idea at this point lol.

    Auxie likes this.
  18. jesse82nc

    jesse82nc Well-Known Member

    Latest update, 120 mph. Looks like in this update that the worst of it will stay off shore and out to sea. Central Eastern Florida will get a nice swipe though.

    Auxie likes this.
  19. jesse82nc

    jesse82nc Well-Known Member

    Latest is saying 2-3 inches of rain for the area and wind gusts in the 25-35 mph range Friday night through Sunday morning.
    Auxie likes this.
  20. ddrdan

    ddrdan Well-Known Member

    Thanks for all the updates! You've made it real easy to keep up with this.
    DWK, Sherry A., Hught and 1 other person like this.

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